We currently have people in 3 camps, as to the Future of AI
- The first category are people who think AI will take over Everything. The way the Internet took over (and is still taking over) everything
- This includes the large technology companies who are spending roughly $100 billion a quarter in AI capital expenditure
- This includes people in certain professions such as doctors, lawyers, Data Analysts, etc who are seeing their work life transformed by AI
- This includes college and school students who are basically ‘AI’ing all their homework assignments and hoping the AI companies don’t release an AI plagiarism checker
- The second category are people who think AI is overhyped
- This includes people burned by things like chatbots and NFTs and VR sets and self driving cars (not literally, we don’t mean literally, don’t mean to hurt anyone’s feelings)
- This includes people who, accurately, don’t YET see a ‘killer use’ of AI for every day people
- This includes people who look at AI as just a means of pumping up large tech companies (especially Nvidia) and propping up the US stock market
- The third category are people who have absolutely no clue what to think, or don’t even know what is going on with AI
- This is the most interesting group because whether or not they embrace AI will determine whether AI does indeed become the next world changer
What does DealAI think about The Future of AI?
There are two very conflicting realities
The first reality is that the amount of R&D investment into AI by countries (USA, China, Middle East, etc) and companies (Big Tech, Chinese Big Tech) suggests that AI is here to stay and will indeed transform everything. You have to follow the money and the amount of investment into AI, by people with the most data and knowledge, suggests AI really is the next big game changer
The second reality is that all the countries and companies investing big into AI really NEED and WANT AI to become the next big thing
- For the countries (especially US and China) it would solve all their economic bubble issues. If AI really transformed things then all their economic sins would be hidden and perhaps even fixed
- For the large tech companies (especially Google and Facebook and Apple and Amazon (perhaps Amazon most of all)) AI would provide the next big growth area and a justification for their valuations
So, how do we differentiate between these two realities?
There is no easy answer
The Decline and Fall of the American Empire Versus AI as the Solution to Resurrect the American Empire
Ray Dalio has an absolutely fascinating video on the Decline and Fall of Empires ->
There can be little doubt to anyone paying close attention that the American Empire is indeed in slow decline. Perhaps the biggest indicator is that Americans are being turned into wage slaves, debt slaves, and rent slaves. Hardly the type of life befitting the citizens of an Empire.
AI is exceedingly crucial for America as if AI really is the once in a lifetime transformational technology that it promises to be, America can use AI to fully revive its Empire and extend the empire by 100 to 200 years.
The importance of this cannot be understated. The only path to America extending its empire, without a series of bloody world wars, is for AI (or another super transformational technology such as Nuclear Fusion) to happen and America to have control of this new technology
So, what is the Future of AI?
We don’t know the answer. What we do know is that
If AI really is as transformational as people are hoping, then whichever country captures AI will become the next Sole SuperPower and control the world for 100 to 200 years
This is not just a technology. This is the determinant of the Next Global Empire.
Perhaps it will be America extending their current Empire for another 100 to 200 years via AI.
Perhaps it will take a century to truly play out, and in that case, any of USA, China, India, the Middle East, or a wild card country or even a large Technology Company could become the next Massive Sole Super Power
Most countries already realize this and are already protecting their data and their citizens (or beginning to). The stage is set for the AI Wars, and the Winner will/could/should control the entire world for the next 100 to 200 years.